Foresight is trending in foreign policy circles, owing its appeal to unexpected events like Brexit and the looming uncertainties inherent to an unraveling world order. While defense planners and organizations such as the OECD and UNESCO have already pioneered a systematic approach to studying the future, foreign policy bureaucracies in Europe are catching on – most notably in the EU, France, the Netherlands, and Germany.
Germany’s upcoming leadership change after the 2021 election comes at a critical juncture, when the government will need to make strategic decisions on how to rebuild the economy after a global pandemic, address the crisis of fossil-fueled capitalism and navigate renewed global order competition. An ecosystem of institutionalized government foresight can help create the necessary long-term vision that’s needed to meet those challenges.
The report was originally published by CASSIS on April 16, 2021.